Outright Rugby

Brumbies v.s Reds Super Rugby preview

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Venu: Canberra Stadium, Australia
Kickoff: Sat 16 Feb 19:40 (NSW)
        NZ: Sat 16 Feb 21:40 (Auckland)
     RSA: Sat 16 Feb 10:40
Referee: Andrew Lees (Australia)
Weather: Cloudy, warm and dry with a moderate breeze.
A true treat on the Super Rugby calendar. A genuine heavy-weight Aussie derby that is sure to shape early season expectations for both sides and cause for great debate come the final whistle.
See http://www.outrightrugby.com/super-15/brumbies-super-rugby-preview-2013 for a Brumbies overview and
http://www.outrightrugby.com/super-15/465 to get a feel of what the Reds have on offer this season.
Preseason results: 
Brumbies 20-18 v.s Force (Darwin)
Brumbies 38-7 v.s ACT XV (Canberra)
Reds 41-35 v.s Blues (Toowoomba)
Reds 8-20 v.s Chiefs (Gold Coast)
Brumbies: 15. Jesse Mogg, 14. Henry Speight, 13. Andrew Smith, 12. Christian Lealiifano, 11. Clyde Rathbone, 10. Matt Toomua, 9. Nic White, 8. Ben Mowen (Captain), 7. David Pocock, 6. Peter Kimlin, 5. Sam Carter, 4. Scott Fardy, 3. Dan Palmer, 2. Stephen Moore, 1. Ben Alexander. Replacements: 16. Siliva Siliva, 17. Ruaidhri Murphy, 18. Colby Faingaa, 19. Fotu Auelua, 20. Ian Prior, 21. Joseph Tomane, 22. Robbie Coleman.
Reds: 15 Mike Harris, 14 Dom Shipperley, 13 Aidan Toua, 12 Ben Tapuai, 11 Digby Ioane, 10 Quade Cooper, 9 Ben Lucas, 8 Jake Schatz, 7 Liam Gill, 6 Eddie Quirk, 5 Rob Simmons, 4 Adam Wallace-Harrison, 3 James Slipper (captain), 2 Saia Faingaa, 1 Greg Holmes.
Replacements: 16 Albert Anae, 17 James Hanson, 18 Ed O’Donoghue, 19 Jarrad Butler, 20 Nick Frisby, 21 Jono Lance, 22 Chris F’Sautia.
Execution, temperament and discipline will dictate dominance in this crucial Aussie derby. Expect this match to be a contest of fine margins with few extended passages of attacking play. Ultimately defence will be key in this early season outing.
Betting: Outright: Brumbies 4/6 v.s 6/4
                Handicap: -3 v.s +3
So many unknowns. How will new players gel? How will old players settle? And early season fitness?
Its a tough ask beating the Brumbies away from home so early on in the season. It is however achievable considering the talent which the Reds have at their disposal. Crucially will the Reds’ goal-kicking shape having had no preseason match practise?
Upsets are easy to come by in early round Super Rugby matches but we’re leaning toward the Brumbies to edge it in a fiercely fought contest. Thus far the Reds are yet to stake their claim this season against a weak Blues outfit and against the Chiefs at home. To the kick-off and all that will follow!
Rip it boys. May the best team win!